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WHAT THE WORLD WANTS PROJECT
What We Have and What We Want
Section 1: The World Problem State
Our global problems may seem insurmountable, even
inconceivable to some. Globally between 13 and 18
million people die each year due to starvation or
starvation-related causes.(2) That is nearly as many
people dying each day as Americans who died in the
entire Vietnam War. More than 800 million people are
malnourished in the world and routinely go without
enough food to live in optimal health.(3) Despite
monumental strides in medical science which have improved
the longevity and quality of life for the average
human, large segments of the world's population continue
to suffer from preventable diseases and lack access
to even basic health care. For example:
- Some 20% of the world's children go without basic
immunization, most of whom live in remote and often
impoverished areas where infection is more likely
to lead to death.
- Over 9 million children die each year from preventable
causes, most of them from dehydration, routine infections,
or one of several major diseases for which vaccines
are available.(4)
- Some 500,000 women die in childbirth each year
while over 3 million infants die from dehydrating
diseases that could be eliminated through breast
feeding or Oral Rehydration Therapy, a simple and
cheap mixture of clean water, sugar and salts. .
- Over 17 million people die each year from curable
infectious and parasitic diseases such as diarrhea,
malaria and tuberculosis.(5)
- Over 500 million people are infected with tropical
diseases such as malaria, sleeping sickness, river
blindness, and schistomiasis, all of which are now
preventable.
- Over 18 million people are infected with the AIDS
virus.(6)
- More than a billion people lack access to any
health care.(7)
- There are 1.75 billion people without adequate
drinking water.(8)
- A billion people are without adequate housing,(9)
and 100 million are homeless.(10)
- Nearly a billion people, mostly women, are illiterate,
and about 130 million children at primary school
age and 275 million at secondary level are not enrolled
in school.(11)
- There are over 53 million uprooted people or refugees
in the world, 80% of which are women and children.(12)
- There are over 110 million landmines scattered
in 64 countries killing and maiming over 9,000 children,
women and civilians of all ages each year, and over
one million since 1975.(13)
The developing world is at least $618 billion in
debt to the developed world(14) and the gap between
the rich and poor grows alarmingly larger each year.
The richest 20% of the world now have 85% of the world's
income, while the poorest 20% share 1.4%.(15) And,
most alarming in a world as dangerous and well armed
as ours, there are currently over 79 armed conflicts
going on around the world, 65 of which are in the
developing world.(16) There have been over 123 million
people killed in 149 wars since World War II.(17)
On top of these outrageous conditions are layered
the alarming environmental problems confronting the
world:
- Around the planet, 26 billion tons of topsoil
are being eroded per year from the world's farmland.(18)
That's 3 million tons per hour.
- Deserts advance at a rate of nearly 15 million
acres per year.(19)
- 10 million acres of rain forest are destroyed
annually.(20)
- Over 200 million tons of waste are added to the
atmosphere each year.(21)
- Over six billion tons of carbon from fossil fuel
burning were added to the atmosphere last year.(22)
- There is a 6 million square mile hole in the ozone
layer over Antarctica, and a 4.5 to 5% loss of ozone
over the Northern Hemisphere.(23)
- The planet has warmed at least 1° C in the last
century, and given the annual carbon, CO2, CFC,
and methane transmissions into the atmosphere, it
will rise another 2.5° to 5.5° in the coming century.(24)
- There are over 31,000 hazardous waste sites in
the US alone(25), while in Europe, Estonia, and
Lithuania acid rain has damaged over 122.6 million
acres of forest.(26)
- There are over 130,000 tons of known nuclear waste
in the world, some of which will remain poisonous
to the planet for another 100,000 years.(27)
And, last but not least, keeping the pressure on
humanity to produce as much as possible from the Earth-driving
the juggernaut described above-is the world's population
which is increasing by about 90 million people each
year, or about the population of all of Mexico (28).
All or part of the above is what most people who
are concerned with the world are aware of in one way
or another. We might not know the numbers, but we
have heard something is wrong, and it is serious.
It is what we read about in the newspapers or hear
and see on TV. The pervasive bad news numbs people's
concern, compassion or outrage. If you hear an obscenity
often enough, it ceases to be an obscenity.
This "bad news" is depressing, even debilitating,
when presented as a fait accompli, or as the only
thing happening in the world. If the bad news is an
accurate image of the world and our future, we are
doomed. Equally important, if the bad news is all
we can see, we are just as doomed. As Russell Ackoff
notes, "The inability to envision a positive future
is, in itself, a threat to survival."(29) If we see
the glass as only half empty, we are missing something
very valuable in our assessment of the situation.
Although the "bad news" should not and cannot be denied
or minimized, it needs to be understood in a broader
context that will allow us to see its true import.
And, unless one believes we are a species not worth
saving, the bad news needs to be acted upon. It needs
to be seen, not in isolation, which makes it appear
as if it is the only thing happening in the world,
but as part of a complex matrix of "good news/bad
news," occurring, with not infrequent regularity,
right next to each other throughout the world.
The appalling conditions described in the world problem
state do not represent our fate. They do not need
to be tolerated because we think "there isn't anything
we can do." The crucial missing factor in all the
bad news is the good news: there are options to these
problems-and there are solutions. Not only is there
much we can do now, but the solutions to our global
problems are also so clearly achievable and affordable
that knowledge of them in their totality can even
be inspiring. Minimally, they are an effective antidote
to the despair and resignation that hopelessness breeds.
One way of putting the problems of the world in
context is to ask, "What should the world look like?"
Trying to take action without the answer to this question
is like the medical doctor trying to cure someone
of liver disease without knowing what a healthy liver
is and how it behaves. Because health is more than
just the absence of disease and infirmity, we need
to be visionaries to define the health of the world.
As mentioned in the introduction, there has been
an effort to answer this question. Over the past 24
years, World Game Workshops conducted for corporate,
government, university and high school groups have
asked the following question to more than 200,000
people: "Given the present state of the world, what
is your preferred state?" One of the early surprises
of this effort was the unanimity of the preferred
state vision that resulted. Whether the participants
were government leaders from Malaysia or students
from Maine, Motorola executives or Japanese Junior
Chamber of Commerce members, they all came up with
something very similar.
The following was compiled from all the various
groups by eliminating redundancies and using common
terms. It encompasses all the groups' collective vision
of where they want humanity to be in 20 years.
The above is in obvious contrast to the World Problem
State Summary. We already know which is more desirable.
But is the preferred state even possible? Are there
strategies, policies, programs, artifacts, resources
and capital available for building such a beautiful
world? If so, how do we acheive them and what are
the implications for humanity? The next section examines
the various qualities of the preferred state and assesses
if there are possibilities for reaching any of this
noble vision.
Field tested, cost effective, humane and sustainable
solutions
The global food problem is a very complicated situation
involving myriad interacting technological, economic,
ecological, cultural, geographical and political systems.
Every other problem confronting humanity is similarly
multidimensional. Adding them all together and then
presenting a set of strategies that purport to "solve"
these massively complex problems is daunting, to say
nothing of naive or foolhardy.
To present the strategies in a short report such
as this, when innumerable books have been written
on each of these topics, leaves the authors open to
charges of superficiality, pollyannism or gross naiveté,
bordering on negligence-depending on how seriously
you are intimidated by academic credentials, opinions,
political leanings or negative world views.
Clearly, to deal with a problem as complex and large
as the global food situation in just a few pages is
difficult, at best-if the intention is to provide
a detailed, step-by-step process or listing of every
component of a worldwide strategy. The intention here
is different: to present the broad brushstroke outlines
of programs, policies and tactics that are in use
or could be quickly brought on-line that could solve
a systemic problem confronting humanity. They are
not suggested as complete or detailed plans, but rather
as giving overall direction, scope and strategy.(30)
WHAT THE WORLD WANTS PROJECT
Credits Major References
Footnotes Credits
The What the World Wants Project is by Medard Gabel
and the research staff of the World Game Institute
The author gratefully acknowledges the assistance
of: Evan Frisch, whose help with an earlier version
of this report was invaluable, as well as Kim Bixel,
Chris Randolph, Annette Earling, Nadia Rehman, Christine
Boucher, Tony DeVarco and the research staff of the
World Game Institute without whose help this version
would not exist. In addition, the author would like
to thank the many people who provided valuable feedback
on earlier versions of this paper, as well as the
participants in World Game Workshops at the following
sites over the last few years who have all contributed
to an evolving definition and refinement of what the
world wants:
Corporations
Astra-Merck, Philadelphia. PA
British Airways, Boca Raton, FL
Bell South, Atlanta, GA
Cigna International, Philadelphia, PA
Glaxo Corporation, Williamsburg, VA
General Motors International Operations, Orlando,
FL
General Motors Delphi Group, Detroit, MI
H.J. Heinz, Cape Schanck, Australia
Infonet Services Corporation, El Segundo, CA
Motorola, Beijing, China Motorola, Phuket, Thailand
Motorola, Schaumburg, IL
Motorola, Singapore
Roy F. Weston, Inc., West Chester, PA
Young Presidents Organization, Istanbul, Turkey
Young Presidents Organization, Mexico City, Mexico
Young Presidents Organization, El Salvador
Universities and Colleges
University of Akron, Orville, OH
University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL
University of Chicago Graduate School of Business,
Chicago, IL
University of Illinois, Urbana, IL
University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY
University of Miami, Miami, FL
University of MN, Morris, MN
University of North Carolina, Greensboro, NC
University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, TX
University of Wisconsin, Green Bay, WI
University of Wisconsin Parkside, Kenosha, WI
Bates College, Lewiston, ME
Belhaven College, Jackson, MS
Bentley College, Waltham, MA
Binghamton University, Binghamton, NY
Broome Community College, Binghamton, NY
Cedar Crest College, Allentown, PA
Central Piedmont Community College, Charlotte, NC
Chestnut Hill College, Chestnut Hill, PA
Colby-Sawyer College, New London, NH
Colgate University, Hamilton, NY
Cottey College, Nevada, MO
Drew University, Madison, NJ
Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA
Eastern Kentucky University, Richmond, KY
Edmonds Community College, Edmonds, WA
Emory & Henry College, Emory, VA
Florida Community College, Jacksonville, FL
Franklin College, Franklin, IN
Hamilton College, Clinton, NY
Harrisburg Community College, PA
Hofstra University, Hempstead, NY
Indiana State University, Terre Haute, IN
Johnson & Wales University, Providence, RI
LaSalle University, Philadelphia, PA
Lynchburg College, Lynchburg, VA
Marietta College, Marietta, OH
Michigan State University, E. Lansing, MI
Nazareth College at Rochester, NY
North Idaho College, Coeur D'Alene, ID
North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
Penn State University, State Coll., PA
Rennselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY
Rochester Institute of Technology, NY
Rockford College, Rockford, IL
Salisbury State College, Salisbury, MD
Sauk Valley Community College, Dixon, IL
SUNY-Plattsburgh, Plattsburgh, NY
Thiel College, Greenville, PA
Transylvania University, Lexington, KY
Trinity Christian College, Palos Heights, IL
Upsala College, East Orange, NJ
Upward Bound Program, Lincoln University, PA
Western New England College, Springfield, MA
Worcester Polytechnic Institute, MA
Yale University, New Haven, CT
Organizations
African Medical & Research Foundation, Toronto,
Canada
AIESEC Sonora, Sonora, Mexico
AIESEC Switzerland
AIESEC Monterrey, Mexico
AIESEC Penn, Philadelphia, PA
AIESEC Estonia, Tallon , Estonia
AIESEC The Netherlands
AIESEC Monterrey, Monterrey, Mexico
AIESEC UKM, Malaysia
AIESEC-Marquette, Milwaukee, WI
AIESEC Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH
AIESEC Turku-Finland
AIESEC-Univ. of Minnesota, Minn., MN
AIESEC Indecs-Finland
AIA Minnesota, Duluth, MN
BC Global Education Project ,Vancouver, BC
Buckminster Fuller Institute, Santa Barbara, CA
Carnegie Science Center, Pittsburgh, PA
Center for Video Education, West Chester, NY
Connections 96 Conference, Victoria, BC
Conservation Foundation, Downers Grove, IL
Diversity 2000, Union, NJ
Discovery Program, University of PA, Philadelphia,
PA
Global Energy Network Int'l, San Diego, CA
Great Lakes Invit. Conference, Flint, MI
Instituute voor Publiek en Politiek, Netherlands
International House, Philadelphia, PA
IULA World Congress, Soestrbrg, Netherlands
Junior League of Indianapolis, Indianapolis, IN
Kentucky Leadership, Frankfort, KY
Lutheran Youth Organization, Grand Forks, ND
Childrens Museum About the World, NC
College Student Personnel Association, Tarrytown,
NY
Explora Science Center, Albuquerque, NM
Ecocity Experience, Waitakere Cty, N. Zealand
Girl Scouts of Orange County, Costa Mesa, CA
Goshen Noon Kiwanis Club, Goshen, IN
Iowa Dept. of Education, Des Moines, IA
Iowa Dept. of Natural Resources, Des Moines, IA
IODA Conference, Eilat, Israel
Johnson, Long & Co., Austin, TX
Kentucky Leadership, Elizabethtown, KY
Leadership, Inc., Philadelphia, PA
Lutheran Campus Ministries, Blacksburg, VA
Museum of Discovery & Science, Ft. Lauderdale, FL
NAFSA Conference, Princeton, NJ
National Lutheran Leadership Conf., Minneapolis, MN
NVB-Sweden PAM Northern Chapter, Penang, Malaysia
Pittsburgh Children's Museum, Pittsburgh, PA
Principals' Center Summer Institute, NJ
Presbyterian Peacemaking Program, Hempstead, NY
Rotary International, Calgary, Canada; Sacramento
Zoo, Sacramento, CA
Salem Area TAG, Salem, OR
St. Andrew's Lutheran Church, Mahtomedi, MN
Schuylkill Center, Philadelphia, PA
Scottsdale Leadership, Scottsdale, AZ
Shore Consortium for G&T, Atlantic Highlands, NJ
Sister Cities International, Louisville, KY
Student Pugwash, Washington DC
UN Environmental Conference, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
UN 50 Committee of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA
Visum Futurum, Gothenburg, Sweden
We the Peoples 2000, Swarthmore, PA
World Bank, Washington, DC
Youth Environmental Summit, Loveland, CO
Major References
- UNDP, Human Development Report 1996 (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1996);
- UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1996 1995,
1994;
- Giving children a future: The World Summit for
Children, (New York: Oxford University Press, 1996,
1990);
- UNHCR Refugees II-95, Public Information Service
UNHCR 1995;
- The World Bank, World Development Report 1996
(New York: Oxford University Press, 1996);
- World Resources Institute, World Resources 1995-96,
1992-93,
- World Watch Institute, Vital Signs 1996;
- State of the World 1988-96, (New York: W.W. Norton
& Company, 1996);
- Ho-Ping: Food for Everyone; Energy, Earth and
Everyone; World Game Institute, Doubleday, New York.
Footnotes
Introduction and Section 1: What We Have and What
We Want
- 1 These people were participants in World Game
Workshops, held by the not-for-profit, non-partisan
research and education organization World Game Institute,
3215 Race Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104. A UN-affiliated
NGO, the WGI has been conducting its research and
educational programs for corporate executives, government
leaders, educators and students for the last 25
years.
- 2 The World Bank, World Development Report 1990
(New York: Oxford University Press, 1990).
- 3 UNDP, Human Development Report 1996 (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1996) p. 20; UNDP, Human
Development Report 1990 (New York: Oxford University
Press, 1990), p. 17; World Watch Institute, Vital
Signs 1996 p.146, (New York: W.W. Norton & Company,
1996).
- 4 UNICEF, Giving children a future: The World
Summit for Children (New York: UNICEF, 1990), pp.
4-6, Also see, "Child summit: Moving towards a global
ethic," Development Forum , 18 (September-October
1990), p. 1.
- 5 UNDP, Human Development Report 1996 (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1996) p. 20.
- 6 ibid.
- 7 1.024 billion in V. Lyon and M. Gabel, World
Health Care Deficit (Philadelphia: World Game Institute,
1990), p. 4; The figure is 1.5 billion in UNDP Human
Development Report 1990.
- 8 UNDP, Human Development Report 1996 (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1996) p. 18; UNDP, Human
Development Report 1990, p. 17.
- 9 UNDP, Human Development Report 1996 (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1996) p. 24; P. McHenry,
"Adobe: New Look at a Centuries-Old Building Material,"
Christian Science Monitor, 17 April 1986, pp. 20-21.
- 10 UNDP, Human Development Report 1996 (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1996) p. 24; UNDP 1990,
p. 17.
- 11 UNDP, Human Development Report 1995 (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1995), p. 16; Secretariat
of UNESCO, ILY: Year of Opportunity (Paris: UNESCO,
1990), pp. 8-9.
- 12 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1996,
p. 19, (New York: Oxford University Press, 1996);
UNHCR Refugees II-95, Public Information Service
UNHCR 1995; World Watch Institute, Vital Signs 1996
p.96, (New York: W.W. Norton & Company, 1996); H.
Kamm, "One Sign of Our Times: World Refugee Flood,"
New York Times, 12 September 1990, p. 16. Also,
interview with Jewel S. Lapontant, Ambassador-at-Large,
U.S. Coordinator for Refugee Affairs, 1990.
- 13 World Watch Institute, Vital Signs 1996 p.132,
(New York: W.W. Norton & Company, 1996).
- 14 The World Bank, World Development Report 1996
(New York: Oxford University Press, 1996), $103
billion owed by 'severely indebted low-income countries'
and $515 billion owed by 'middle-income developing
countries', p.126.
- 15 UNDP, Human Development Report 1996, (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1996), p. 13.
- 16 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1996,
p. 24, (New York: Oxford University Press, 1996).
- 17 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1996,
p. 13, (New York: Oxford University Press, 1996).
- 18 D. Pimentel et. al. "Environmental and economic
costs of soil erosion and conservation benefits",
Science Magazine, p. 1117, Feb. 24, 1995; L. Brown,
et.al. State of the World 1988 (New York: W.W. Norton
& Company, 1988), p. 60.
- 19 Brown, et.al., State of the World 1988 p. 6.
Original figure in hectares. Actual figure in acres
is 14.8 million.
- 20 World Watch Institute, Vital Signs 1996 p.117,
(New York: W.W. Norton & Co. 1996).
- 21 E. Mansfield, Economics: Principles, Problems,
Decisions, 5th ed. (New York: W.W. Norton & Company,
1986), p. 487.
- 22 World Watch Institute, Vital Signs 1996 p.64,
(New York: W.W. Norton & Co. 1996).
- 23 J. Weiner, The Next 100 Years: Shaping the
Fate of Our Living Earth (New York: 1990), p. 152.
Percentage loss is from The New York Times, 5 April
1991, p. A1.
- 24 L. Brown, et. al. State of the World 1990,
(New York: W.W. Norton & Co., 1990), p. 63.
- 25 P. H. Abelson, "Cleaning Hazardous Waste Sites,"
Science, 246 (1989), p. 1.
- 26 Brown, et. al., State of the World 1990, p.
107. Original figure in hectares.
- 27 World Watch Institute, Vital Signs 1996 p.
88, (New York: W.W. Norton & Company, 1996); World
Resources Institute, World Resources 1990-91 (New
York: Oxford University Press, 1990), p. 324.
- 28 Population Data Sheet 1996, (Washington, DC:
Population Reference Bureau, 1996).
- 29 R. Ackoff, Redesigning the Future (New York:
Wiley, 1974).
Section 2: How to Pay For It
- 30 For book-length explications of strategies
for dealing with at least two of the areas below,
see M. Gabel, Energy, Earth, and Everyone, 2nd ed.
(Garden City, NY: Anchor Press/Doubleday, 1980),
and M. Gabel, Ho-Ping: Food for Everyone (Garden
City, NY: Anchor Press/Doubleday, 1979).
- 31 Indigenous organic material refers to animal
manure and green "manure" such as intercropping,
companion planting, crop rotations and the use of
nitrogen fixing plants and trees such as the lucena
tree that grows 10-14 feet per year, fixes nitrogen
in its roots, and has leaves that are 5% nitrogen
which can be used as fodder or mulch.
- 32 W. C. Liebhardt, A low fertilizer use approach
to increasing tropical food production. Background
papers for innovative biological technologies for
lesser developed countries, No. 6 (Washington: Office
of Technology, 1981), pp. 285-87.
- 33 Derived by averaging fertilizer use/hectare
for developed and developing countries and comparing
them. Yields were averaged similarly using cereal
yields. (Both data sets from World Resources Institute,
1990/91, pp. 278-281.)
- 34 J. Cherfas, "FAO Proposes a 'New' Plan for
Feeding Africa," Science Magazine, 250 (1990), p.
748.
- 35 Derived by dividing Africa's cereal yield into
the average for Europe and into U.S. total; cereal
yields from World Resources Institute 1990/91, p.
278-279.
- 36 See for example, M. Gabel, "The Regeneration
of Africa: Resources, Needs and Capacities" (Philadelphia:
World Game Institute, 1985). and M. Gabel and A.
Heiland, "National Implications of Resource-efficient
Farming Methods for Tanzania", (Emmaus, PA: Rodale
Press Inc., 1985).
- 37 See Gabel, Ho-Ping, pp. 114, 117-118.
- 38 With yields in Africa at 26% of U.S. and European
yields, an increase of fertilizer applications to
even 25% of what they are in the U.S would double
yields, according to normal fertilizer response
rates. African use of fertilizer is between 1.6%
and 8.3% the application rates in Europe. Also,
see endnotes 33, 35, and 37.
- 39 Figure was derived by subtracting 2400 calories
from the average daily calorie consumption per capita.
The difference was divided by 2400 and multiplied
by 100 to get the %. 2400 is WHO's baseline for
minimum calorie consumption per person per day.
Average daily calorie consumption per capita from
FAO, FAO Production Yearbook 1988, Vol. 41 (Rome:
FAO, 1989), pp. 291-292. Population figures from
Population Data Sheet 1990.
- 40 See for example, M. Gabel, "The Regeneration
of Africa: Resources, Needs and Capacities" (Philadelphia:
World Game Institute, 1985). and M. Gabel and A.
Heiland, "National Implications of Resource-efficient
Farming Methods for Tanzania", (Emmaus, PA: Rodale
Press Inc., 1985).
- 41 See, for example, Gabel, "Tanzania," pp. 3-4.
- 42 World expenditures on illegal drugs is estimated
to be $1 trillion; "For the Record", Washington
Post, 8-2-95, p. 35.
- 43 US spent $29 billion on weight loss in 1989;
U.S. Weight Loss and Diet Control Market, Marketdata
Enterprises, 3-89. By 1995 this figure had risen
to $34 billion.
- 44 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1996,
p. 16.
- 45 The Economist, June 1, 1996, p. 100.
- 46 The Economist, December 4, 1994, The Price
of Life, p. 74.
- 47 13 to 18 million people saved times $1 million
results in $13 to $18 trillion.
- 48 Lowest estimate is $750,000 per human life.
One-half of this is $375,000; this amount times
the number of humans dying each year from starvation
or starvation related causes (18 million) is $6.75
trillion or $18.49 billion per day, $770,547,945
per hour, or 24.6 hours to reach the $19 billion
cost of the entire program.
- 49 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1996,
p. 39.
- 50 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1996,
p. 41.
- 51 Costa Rica has raised life expectancy to 74
years, one year higher than the U.S. See 1990 World
Population Data Sheet (Washington, D.C.: Population
Reference Bureau, 1990). Each child is seen at least
once per month by a community health worker, more
than the average child sees a health worker in the
US (personal communication from the Costa Rican
Minister of Health).
- 52 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1990
(New York: Oxford University Press, 1990).p. 41.
- 53 Derivation based on UNICEF, State of the World's
Children 1990, p. 41. If 1 billion health care workers
are needed for 200-250 families, then 1.5 million
are needed (based on 1 worker per 225 families)
for 150 families. At the average training cost of
$500 per worker (UNICEF, p. 41), total training
would cost $750 million.
- 54 $8.25 billion per year for salaries, $5.75
billion for supervision, retraining and infrastructure.
Salary scale derived from UNICEF, State of the World's
Children 1990, pp. 41-43. Latin America trained
200,000 doctors at $60,000 each or $12 billion total.
For the same amount, they could have trained 150,000
doctors (cost: $9 billion) and had $3 billion left
over to train and pay half a million health care
workers. Since training is $500 each ($250 million
total), that leaves a salary of $5500 for each worker
($2.75 billion). Applying a salary of $5500 to each
of 1.5 billion health care workers gives a total
of $8.25 billion.
- 55 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1990,
p.38.
- 56 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1990,
p.16.
- 57 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1990,
p. 36. Based on 5¢ per person/year.
- 58 U.S. spent $84.7 billion on alcohol in 1995;
(Bureau of Economic Analysis, Department of Commerce).
- 59 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1990,
p.16.
- 60 U.S. Government Accounting Office, Panama:
Cost of the U.S. Invasion of Panama (Washington,
D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1990).
- 61 U.S. spent $131.95 billion on alcohol and tobacco
in 1995; (Bureau of Economic Analysis, Department
of Commerce).
- 62 Figured in the same way that the previous strategies
for eliminating starvation related deaths. Each
life saved being "worth" $1 million and 10 million
lives saved per year as a result of global health
care coverage. The World Bank measures the loss
in human productivity due to disease in "disability-adjusted
life years," or DALYs. There have been 1.36 billion
disability-adjusted life years lost each year since
1990. Using this as a measuring stick, and valuing
each of these lives at $1 million results in the
almost absurd number of $1,360 trillion or over
100 times the Gross World Product. Valuing each
life two orders of magnitude lower, at a mere $10,000
results in $13.6 trillion per year.
- 63 Estimate by The National Coalition for the
Homeless, cited in Fact Sheet: 1989 Campaign for
Human Development (Washington, D.C.: Campaign for
Human Development, 1989).
- 64 UNDP, Human Development Report 1996 (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1996), p. 24.
- 65 P. McHenry, "Adobe: New Look at a Centuries-Old
Building Material," Christian Science Monitor, 17
April 1986, p. 21.
- 66 UNDP, Human Development Report 1990, p. 17.
- 67 McHenry, p. 20.
- 68 UNDP, Human Development Report 1996 (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1996), p. 24.
- 69 Approximately $200 worth of materials per
inadequately sheltered person, $1400 per family.
- 70 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1990,
p. 37.
- 71 D. Narayan, The Contribution of People's Participation,
Evidence from 121 Rural Water Supply Projects, Environmentally
Sustainable Developmental Occasional Paper Series
No. 1, (Washington DC, The World Bank, 1995), p.
59.
- 72 ibid.
- 73 L. Brown, et al., State of the World 1986,
(New York: W.W. Norton & Company, 1986), pp. 170-71.
- 74 See endnote #61.
- 75 47 countries have more armed forces than teachers
(UNDP, pp.162-163.); 33 countries have more illiterates
than literates (UNDP, pp. 130-131.); In "least developed
countries", there are 121 soldiers for every 100
teachers; the literacy rate is 37% (1985). The 1985
literacy rate for the "developing" world is 60%.
(UNDP, pp. 21, 78.).
- 76 UNDP, Human Development Report 1995 (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1995), p. 16; Secretariat
of UNESCO, ILY: Year of Opportunity (Paris: UNESCO,
1990), pp. 8-9.
- 77 U.S. education expenditure per capita is $928
(5.3% of GNP). Population of developing world is
3.78 billion (from Sivard, p. 47); multiplying the
two gives $3.5 trillion, or 130% of the GNP of the
developing world ($2.7 trillion).
- 78 Number of teachers from UNESCO, Statistical
Yearbook 1989, (France: UNESCO, 1989), pp. 3-85-3-105,
3-146-3-202.
- 79 Each satellite would cost about $150 million;
each television is $50.; each dish receiver is $50.;
each photovoltaic power unit is $100.
- 80 Literacy correlates with cereal yields: 0.653;
literacy with GNP/capita: 0.584; literacy with calorie
consumption: 0.672. Correlations were done in the
software program Global Data Manager. Literacy rate
is from Central Intelligence Agency, World Factbook
1989 (Washington, D.C.: CIA, 1989). GNP/capita is
from The World Bank, pp. 178-179.; cereal yield
is from World Resources Institute, pp. 278-279.;
calorie consumption is from FAO, pp. 291-292; infant
mortality and life expectancy are from World Population
Data Sheet 1990. Also see The World Bank, The Contributions
of Education to Economic Growth: International Comparisons.
World Bank Reprint Series, No. 320 (Washington,
D.C.: The World Bank, 1985), where it is pointed
out that 4 years of primary education is associated
with an average increase in farm productivity of
10% or more.
- 81 Literacy with infant mortality: -0.815 ; literacy
with life expectancy: 0.822. Correlations were done
in the software program Global Data Manager. For
sources of data, see endnote #80. On average, each
additional year of schooling is associated with
a decrease in infant mortality rate of approximately
9 per 1000; K. Hinchliffe, The Monetary and Non-Monetary
Returns to Education in Africa. The World Bank Education
and Training Series, Report EDT46 (Washington, D.C.:
The World Bank, 1986).
- 82 P.D. Maycock and E.N. Stirewalt, A Guide to
the Photovoltaic Revolution, (Emmaus, PA: Rodale
Press, 1986), p. 90-93.
- 83 To replace the amount of electricity presently
being produced by nuclear power plants in the U.S.
would require approximately 1300 square miles of
Arizona or New Mexico desert, an area about 36 miles
by 36 miles square with photovoltaic efficiency
of 8% operating at 10 hours per day.
- 84 V. Zinger and M. Gabel, World Deficit Report
3: World Literacy (Philadelphia: World Game Institute,
1988), p. 10.
- 85 Consumer Electronics, January 10, 1994.
- 86 An increase of one year in average years of
education may lead to a 3% rise in GDP. The World
Bank, World Development Report 1990 (New York: Oxford
University Press, 1990)
- 87 For energy consumption figures for 1950 and
1964: UN, World Energy Supplies 1950-74. Series
J, No. 19 (New York: UN, 1976), p. 11. For 1987
figure: UN, 1987 Energy Statistics Yearbook, (New
York: UN, 1989), p. 3.
- 88 1979 oil consumption: 237 million MT [UN, 1981
Energy Statistics Yearbook, (New York: UN, 1983),
p.309]; 1987 oil consumption: 156 million MT (UN,
1987 Energy, p. 156); GNP growth rate (1965-1988):
4.3% The World Bank, 1990, p. 179.; Also see: D.
E. Sanger, "Japan's Oil Safety Net: Will It Hold?,"
New York Times, 9 August 1990, p. D18.
- 89 Sanger, p. D18.
- 90 Brown et al., 1988, pp. 182-83.
- 91 The Economist, May 28, 1994, p. 24
- 92 Gabel, Energy Earth and Everyone, p. 102-103.
- 93 The Economist, "Climate Tempestuous" July 26,
1996, p. 68.
- 94 The rapid, and profitable, installation of
over 1000 megawatts of wind energy systems in California
is a recent example. It is estimated that $30,000
worth of electricity can be produced on each hectare
(2.47 acres) devoted to wind farming. (Brown, et
al., 1988, p. 177).
- 95 C. Flavin, "Power Shift", World Watch Magazine,
January/February 1996. p. 10.
- 96 Brown et al., 1988, p. 183.
- 97The Economist, "Climate Tempestuous" July 26,
1996, p. 68.
- 98 World Watch Institute, Vital Signs 1996 p.
72-73, (New York: W.W. Norton & Company, 1996).
- 99 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1990,
p. 1.
- 100 Brown et al., 1988, pp. 183-85. Also: much
of the developing world's current debt is already
discounted to 10-20% face value.
- 101 UNICEF, State of the World's Children 1990
, p. 63.
- 102 1987 World Population Data Sheet, (Washington,
D.C.: Population Reference Bureau, 1987).
- 103 C. Wahren, "Population and Development-the
Burgeoning Billions," The OECD Observer, 155, (Dec.
1988-Jan. 1989), cited in UNICEF, p. 26.
- 104 UNICEF; p. 27.
- 105 Population Action International, 1990 Report
on Progress Towards Population Stabilization, (Washington
D.C.). Also: P. J. Hilts, "Plan is Offered for Stable
Birth Rate", New York Times, 26 February 90, p.
B9.
- 106 N. Sadik, The State of World Population 1989-Investing
in Women: The Focus of the Nineties, (New York:
United Nations Population Fund), cited in UNICEF,
p. 26.
- 107 Valuing the life of a human being at $1 million;
valuing the life at $100,000 results in a savings
to the world of $4.5 billion.
- 108 Brown et al., 1988, p. 174.
- 109 Brown et al., 1988, p. 174.
- 110 D. Pimental, et. al. "Environmental and economic
cost of soil erosion and conservation benefits"
Science Magazine, February 24, 1995, p. 1117.
- 111 WorldWatch Magazine, "Matters of Scale," January/February,
1996, p. 39.
- 112 Brown et al., 1988, pp. 175-176.
- 113 Brown et al., 1988, pp. 175-176.
- 114 A. S. Miller, and I. M. Mintzer, The Sky Is
The Limit: Strategies for Protecting the Ozone Layer
(Washington, D.C.: World Resources Institute, 1986)
pp. 13-19.
- 115 WorldWatch Magazine, "Matters of Scale," January/February,
1996, p. 39.
- 116 The Economist, March 11, 1996.
- 117 The Economist, "Climate Tempestuous" July
26, 1996, p. 68.
- 118 As global warming takes hold most climatologists
think that the frequency and intensity of violent
storms will increase thereby increasing the losses
of the insurance industry.
- 119 Perfume sales were $4.8 billion in 1994; R.
Kline, "A Short History of Smell", Sacramento Bee,
February 5, 1995 P. FO1
- 120 World Watch Institute, Vital Signs 1996.
- 121 R. L. Sivard, World Military and Social Expenditures
1993, (Washington DC, World Priorities, 1993)
- 122 Genocide, as well as the preparation for genocide,
is something that the international community of
nations has agreed upon as a war crime. Because
a nuclear weapon is a weapon of mass indiscriminate
destruction that kills civilians, it is an instrument
of genocide, its use an act of genocide, and its
users guilty of committing genocide. By the same
token, anyone building and stockpiling nuclear weapons
is guilty of preparing for genocide and should be
prosecuted for such. At Nuremberg, a similar logic
was used to convict the builders of the gas chambers
at Nazi death camps during World War II. If the
bomb, or gas chamber, is used, it is for genocide.
Building such a device then is an act of preparing
for genocide. One could use this logic to bring
current world leaders and their predecessors to
trial for genocide.
- 123 M. Klare, Rogue States and Nuclear Outlaws:
America's Search for a New Foreign Policy, (Hill
and Wang,) 1995.
- 124 "Defense Spending 1: The morning after high
noon", The Economist, August 10, 1996, p.20.
- 125 L. Diamond, M. Plattner, Editors, Nationalism,
Ethnic Conflict, and Democracy, (Baltimore, John
Hopkins University Press), 1994.
- 126 A modest beginning of this tool is the internet
based NetWorld Game which can be seen at http://www.worldgame.org/~wgi
- 127 Brown et al., 1988, p. 184. What the World
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