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The Changing Geopolitics of Energy

These seven reports examine the overall trends on global energy. Each report focuses on a key aspect of the changing geopolitics of energy and shows key issues, trends, and developments in a summary narrative and graphic and tabular form.

If you do not have Adobe Acrobat, download it now

Download Part I in .pdf format

The Changing Geopolitics of Energy -- Part I
Key Global Trends in Supply and Demand: 1990-2020

Table of Contents
Key Short Term Geopolitical Issues 4
Key Mid-to-Long Term Geopolitical Issues 5

Key Technology Issues

6

Growing Demand for the World Economy

7

Key Demand Issues

8

Setting the Stage: Rising World Energy Use By Region Over the Last Decade: 1985-1994

9

Future World Energy Use: 1990-2020: The Developing World -- Particularly Asia -- Dominates Demand Growth

10

Different Sources Indicate that The Developing World Averages Two to Four Times the Demand Growth of Industrialized States

11

But, Much is Dependent on Global Economic Growth

12

The Impact of Energy Supply to the Industrialized States is Changing Radically

13

Most Industrialized Regions Show Relatively Slow Growth in Total Energy Demand

14

Radically Different Sources Agree on Low Demand Growth in the Industrialized States

15

US versus World Energy Use: 1990-2020: The Vast Majority of Future Demand Growth is Foreign

16

Energy Supply to the Developing States Must Rise Sharply Under Current Economic Assumptions

17

Developing Asian Nations, Latin America, and the Recovery of the FSU and Eastern Europe Dominate the Growth of World Energy Demand

18

All Major Sources Agreed on Extremely High Demand Growth in the Developing World Before the Crisis in Asia:

19

Impact of the "High Growth" Regions on World Energy Demand

20

Comparative Growth of Energy Demand in High Growth Regions

21

Future Asian Energy Use: 1990-2020

22

China, Pacific Rim, and India Are the Source of Virtually All Growth in Asian Demand

23

But, Asian Economic Crisis Could Change All of the Geopolitical Trends

24

Projected Total Energy Supply for the World Economy

25

Key Supply Issues

26

The World is Not Running Out of Oil: The Steady Increase in Proven Global Oil Reserves in Billions of Barrels

27

Oil and Gas Continue to Dominate Rising World Energy Demand: 1970-2020

28

Fossil Fuels Still Dominate World growth in Energy Demand, and the Growth in Demand for Oil is By Far the Most Critical Factor

29

Nuclear Issues

30

Asia Will Drive Future Increase in Demand for Nuclear: Total World Consumption by Region: 1990-2020

31

Nuclear Potential is Far Greater if Safety and Permitting Problems Can Be Solved

32

Coal Issues

33

China and India Will Drive Future Increase in Demand for Coal: Total World Consumption by Region: 1990-2020

34

Coal is the Forgotten Energy Export: 1990-2020

35

Demand for Coal Imports: 1990-2020

36

Regional Coal Reserves as a Percent of World Total

37

World Coal Reserves by Region in Millions of Tons

38

Coal Reserves by Key Nation

39

Renewables and New Sources of Energy

40

The Growth of Renewables and New Sources of Energy Will Have Little Impact on Rising World Energy Demand: 1970-2020

41

North America and Asia Will Lead in Increase in Hydroelectric, Geothermal, Wind, Solar and Other Renewables: 1990-2020

42

Barring an Unanticipated Breakthrough, Technology Gain in Oil, Gas, Coal, and Nuclear Will Be Far More Important Than the Petty Increases From New Sources of Energy

43

Even in the US, Renewables & New Fuels Will Have a Negligible Near to Mid Term Future Growth: Total Consumption Versus Domestic Production, Imports, and New Fuels: 1990-2015

44

US Use of Renewables Shows Little Impact from Advanced Technologies: 1990-2020

45

The US Will Make Negligible Net Progress in Reforming Energy Use in the Transportation Sector

46

US Efforts to Create Truly New Energy Sources Are So Inefficient They Will Produce No Net Energy Gain or Emission Savings

47

Energy and Pollution: Global Warming is Only Part of the Problem

48

Key Issues Affecting Energy Impacts

49

Who Pollutes? The Developing World and Asia Will Overtake the Industrialized World and The West: Total World Carbon Emissions 1995- 2020

50

Who Makes Pollution Grow? Developing Asia is Clearly the Problem

51

Impact of Oil and Gas on Present and Future Global Energy Demand

52
Key Oil Issues 53

Estimated Growth of Oil and Gas Use: 1970-2020

54

Growing World and US Dependence on Imported Oil: 1990-2020

55

Asia Will Drive Most of the Future Increase in Demand for Oil: Total World Oil Consumption by Region: 1990-2020

56
Key Gas Issues 57

North America, the FSU, and Western Europe Will Stay the Largest Consumers, but Asia Will Drive Most of the Increase in Gas Demand

58
Oil Reserves and Geopolitics 59

Shifts in the Regional Balance of Oil Reserves

60

The Middle East and the Gulf Dominate Future Oil Supply: World Oil Reserves by Region as a Percent of World Total

61

OPEC versus Non-OPEC Production, Reserves and Refining Capacity

62

OPEC Status by Country

63

The Middle East and the Gulf Dominate Future Oil Supply: World Oil Reserves by Region in Billions of Barrels

64

Download Part I in .pdf format






Updated: 2016/06/30

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