Newsweek International
Sept. 6-13 issue - It's not hard to imagine corporate
executives treating Terry Penney's ideas with skepticism.
Penney, an engineering manager at the U.S. government's
National Renewable Energy Laboratory in Golden,
Colorado, speaks with such enthusiasm that he tends
to start on his next thought before finishing the
last one. He can also be single-minded to a fault.
His idea of recreation, after all, is holing up
in his cabin high in the Rocky Mountains and going
"off grid"—relying solely on solar panels and batteries
big enough to supply heat and electricity for a
three-day snowstorm.
Penney seems to have a knack, however, for knowing
when a seemingly far-out idea is actually close
at hand. Back in 1991, he met with executives from
U.S. automobile and fuel companies to propose giving
them government funds to develop a prototype car
that could run on both a standard internal-combustion
engine and batteries. They were skeptical, he says,
but in the end "they took the money." Seven years
later Toyota started selling its Prius hybrid car,
and now U.S. automakers are playing catch-up. Is
he prescient? Or just lucky?
These days Penney and his colleagues are cooking
up a new and different role for the automobile in
our energy future. "Look out in that parking lot,"
he says with a wave of his hand. "Those are what
the utility industry calls stranded assets." The
term usually refers to a generating plant that's
not working at full capacity. But a car, with a
bit of jiggering perhaps, would make a mighty fine
little power plant, he says. If you take all the
cars in NREL's parking lot (a few hundred) and plug
them into the electricity grid, you'd have a megawatt
of power—the equivalent of a small power plant.
More to the point, if you plugged all the cars sitting
in all the parking lots around the world into the
power grid, you'd be generating about 10 times more
electricity than the world currently consumes. "Talk
about a stranded asset!"
Penney's car-as-power-plant idea may turn out to
be a big conceptual piece of the energy puzzle.
Energy experts know the world economy won't be able
to rely on oil and other hydrocarbons forever, and
that the future therefore lies in a broad array
of energy sources large and small, from solar and
wind, to hydrogen fuel cells in cars and basements,
to microturbines that burn fuel made from corn and
other plants. At present, no energy grid is capable
of accommodating such a hodge-podge. With few exceptions,
power lines now mostly run one way: from big centralized
power plants to homes, factories and cities. More
than 300,000 kilometers of power lines crisscross
the United States, ferrying a quarter of the world's
electrical power over vast distances. On average,
8 percent of this energy is lost as heat from the
electricity as it moves through the wires. The blackout
last year in the Eastern United States showed how
poorly adapted power grids can be even to current
energy needs.
If the energy grid were smarter—if it were more
decentralized and democratized, like the Internet—it
would improve efficiencies by shortening the average
distance between energy producers and consumers.
It would also make the grid less vulnerable to disruption
from overloading, storms and terrorists. The idea
is to build a flexible, dynamic grid that goes both
ways—that both pumps out energy and accepts contributions
from millions of homes. "Essentially you'd have
energy producers and users all wound up in one thing,"
says John Turner, principal scientist at NREL. "It's
a whole different look at how we make and use energy."
With a hybrid grid there would be no need to argue
the merits of fossil fuels versus renewables. Which
is good, not least because the two sides are far
apart and both have valid points. Oil advocates
are correct in pointing out that no fuel packs more
energy per liter than oil. (ExxonMobil executives
are fond of saying that the average gas station
supplies roughly the same energy as more than 200
square kilometers of solar panels.) And whereas
oil flows ready-made from the ground, hydrogen has
to be manufactured by electrolysis, a process that
involves sending an electrical current through water,
which breaks down the liquid into hydrogen and oxygen.
In the context of a hybrid grid, on the other hand,
this becomes one of hydrogen's biggest advantages.
Just about any energy source can be used to make
hydrogen, which in turn can deliver electricity
not only to run a home or a factory but a car as
well. In a hybrid grid, it would be possible for
the first time to supply energy for transportation
(now chiefly oil) and electrical power (coal, nuclear
and natural gas) from any source whatsoever.
In this view, the automobile of the future begins
to look like an underused power plant. Instead of
gas, it's got a tank full of hydrogen, which runs
its fuel-cell engine. When the tank runs low, you
can replenish it at a hydrogen filling station.
Or if you prefer, you can tap your hydrogen reserves
at home, which your solar cells and windmill have
been storing up while you're at work all day. If
your energy needs are low and you find that between
your car and house you have more than you need,
you can always sell it back to the utility. Simply
program your home-energy computer to shoot electricity
back out over the grid at peak hours, when you can
get the best rates. While you're at work sitting
in an air-conditioned office, your car can be plugged
into the grid, giving you another income stream.
In theory, a hybrid grid could create a dot-com-like
burst of innovation in the power industry. It would
stimulate interest in hydrogen cars (since you could
refuel at home, there'd be no need to wait for hydrogen
filling stations to become ubiquitous). It would
open up a consumer market for power-generating equipment
(solar cells, microturbines and the like). It would
create a whole new class of entrepreneur: mom-and-pop
energy suppliers.
Before any of that can happen, of course, there
are a thousand obstacles. The power industry would
have to develop a mind-boggling number of standards
and specifications. That's hard but not impossible—many
smart engineers are working on it now. The bigger
trick will be in getting the utilities, which in
most countries are complacent monopolies, to embrace
change. To build a hybrid grid, power-industry executives
would need to get out of the habit of thinking only
in terms of big, expensive infrastructure like power
plants. They'd have to think more like their counterparts
in the auto industry, who won't look at a product
they can't manufacture in the hundreds of thousands.
"A car rolls off the assembly line somewhere in
the world every two seconds," says NREL's Turner.
"The energy industry has to learn from the automotive
guys how to manufacture things at high speeds and
high volume."
There are already signs that the power industry
is changing in small ways. Japan, concerned that
it was too reliant on energy imports, embarked in
1993 on an ambitious plan to promote solar power.
Now about 170,000 homes in Japan are feeding the
power company's grid. Hitoshi Iokawa, a translator
and father of three in Utsunomiya, north of Tokyo,
installed solar panels on the roof of his house
in 1997 for about $33,000 (the government subsidized
about $10,000 of it). Since then, he's been able
to generate an income of about $460 each year selling
electricity back to the power companies, enough
to offset his electricity bills. "I like testing
new things," he says.
The latter trend is spreading: one Nashville, Tennessee,
doctor recently installed a wind turbine at his
vacation home in Whangateau, New Zealand, where
the power company pays him for the extra electricity
the device generates when he's back in America.
Ignacio Vella of Sonoma, California, powers the
refrigerators in his cheese factory with 234 solar
panels, then sells leftover energy back to PG&E,
the local utility. More than 100 McMansions lining
the streets of San Diego's San Angelo subdivision
come equipped with solar panels that promise to
cut the monthly power bill in half. And in Germany,
thanks to the government's ambitious "100,000 Rooftops"
initiative and some of the world's best net metering
rates, thousands of wind- and solar-powered homes
and businesses are feeding energy into the local
grid.
In recent years, the small industry catering to
such home-energy enthusiasts has seen a burst of
innovation. Renewable Devices Ltd. of Scotland is
marketing rooftop windmills that look like large
weathervanes but can generate 4,000 kilowatt-hours
of electricity a year (the average family uses 10,000
to 15,000kwh). PlugPower, an energy firm on New
York's Long Island, is developing home refueling
systems—closet-size hydrogen fuel cells—that —provide
heat, hot water and electricity, as well as fuel
for a hydrogen-powered car. And in May, BP Solar
unveiled a solar electric glass that could one day
turn windows and skylights into mini power plants.
Of course, most of these gadgets will soon be bought
and used in developed countries. But opening up
the power grid could be a particular boon to energy-poor
countries like India, where power supply lags behind
demand. Indian sugar producers, frustrated by the
inconsistencies of local utilities, have already
begun producing their own electricity from bagasse,
a byproduct of sugar cane. In Karnataka and Maharashtra,
producers are generating 500 megawatts of power
per year, mainly for their own operations, and selling
some of it back to the energy utilities. In the
next few years the power generated from these plants
is expected to increase tenfold, says M. N. Rao
of the Indian Sugar Mills Association. The Indian
government is supporting the effort as a way to
prop up its energy industry. "Exported power to
the grid not only improves the commercial viability
of the sugar mill, but it also helps in voltage
stabilization of the local grid," says a government
official in New Delhi.
One of the biggest question marks is whether the
energy-buying public is going to go for a hybrid
grid in a big way. How many people want to worry
about whether they remembered to plug in the car
when they parked it? Silvia Diaz, for one, doesn't
seem to mind. She's one of the few homeowners in
America who still plans her laundry schedules around
the weather. If it's cloudy out, she'll leave the
pile of pants and socks and T shirts for later.
But if the sun is shining, it's all systems go.
Since August 2003, Diaz and her husband, Rafael,
a truckdriver for a local towing company, have lived
with their three kids in a Watsonville, California,
house that uses both energy-efficient construction
and solar-power generators. It's one of 257 Zero
Energy Homes in the Vista Montana subdivision. Diaz
is keenly aware of the solar panels on her red tile
roof, which offset the energy her family consumes
(mostly through videogames, she jokes). She always
consults her meter before deciding whether to wash
the whites. "The meter is right next to the laundry
room," she says. "We can see how much energy we're
generating and how much we're using." The Diazes
were sold on their current home when they found
out they'd save two thirds of their utility bills.
"We weren't energy conscious at all," she says.
"But now we definitely are." That's a phrase that's
bound to catch on.
With Kay Itoi in Tokyo and Sudip Mazumdar in New
Delhi