The Electric Grid: Society's emerging
supercritical infrastructure
Aug 18, 2006 - Alberto Ramirez Orquin
- energypulse.net
This century brings about new elements, which constantly
modify well-established paradigms. A good example
can be found on the notions of society’s critical
infrastructures. The electric grid has been increasingly
regarded as very important, typically at the same
hierarchy as communications, roadways, water supply,
etc. But its emerging critical dimension has only
recently been revealed, where life is simply inconceivable
or unviable without the essential commodity/service
this grid provides, more primary in nature than the
rest.
This summer again has brought to utilities in the
St. Louis area and New York City outages to hundreds
of thousands of customers; California produced a series
of emergency stage condition declarations hoping to
avoid involuntary rolling blackouts/brownouts, etc.
These are events occurring now with some troubling
frequency, bringing the matter of reference to the
very forefront of interest. Indeed at the time when
such social awareness is emphasized, the reliability
of the power system has become noticeably less than
perfect and/or even questionable.
Additionally, the industrial regulatory reform process
has engendered a serious challenge in the security
province; it looks as though there has been a dicey
stride between the electric utility command-and–control
operation/planning practices of the past, and the
one, more libertarian, required under deregulation.
Evidently this new framework has brought a real myriad
of organizational, structural, as well as institutional
complexities that have rendered both the efficiency
and security problems very difficult to move forward
into a societal acceptable level. Current efforts
brought about, for instance by Epact05, DOE and FERC
seem basically more generic, enunciative and willful
than anything else. On the other hand the contributions
from academia (NSF, Research Centers, Labs, etc) or
from institutions such as the IEEE do not appear to
be quite in harmony with one another and with the
aforementioned policy entities. For one thing, the
engineering concern hinges too heavily around the
supply–side technological standpoint, a valuable approach
but somehow lacking the multidisciplinary content
and coordination necessary for consumers to expect
timely tangible results.
Efficiency, Security and two fundamental questions
It is clear that the adequacy of this industry has
transcendental social/economical implications; the
density of the problem also prevents a simplistic
treatment. A first fundamental question is: What the
overall efficiency of the power system is? To address
such issue three main components can be identified:
the supply-side and demand-side components, and last
but not least, the market efficiency itself. This
latter one is related to the so called dead-weight
loss indicator, a measure of the market competitiveness,
an entropic notion. Studies carried out by top university
groups indicate that this overall efficiency can only
be better than fifty per cent today, with the market
and demand-side components being mostly the big offenders.
The ongoing industry liberalization represents a definite
attempt to overcome this serious deficiency.
A second fundamental question relates to the worth
of power system security. To fully address this point,
under the current environment, it has become imperative
to establish what the social economical value of security
is; in other words searching for an internalization
of this attribute in market pricing terms. It is reasonable
to admit that this is formidable task; yet there are
some useful concepts, potentially capable of simplifying
and shading some light into this process. The key
variable appears to be the cost of the unsupplied
energy (or demand), a subject that has been under
discussion for quite some time now, for the most part
in the European Union, though admittedly with mixed
results. Nonetheless it does not seem likely for the
policy makers here to be dealing consistently with
the issue without coming to grips with this crucial
magnitude.
An imaginable novel approach stems from an in-depth
analysis of the consumer load; particularly about
what economists (Hicks et al) call the compensated
demand, as opposed to the common uncompensated demand
(Marshall). Hicks' function, when available, permits
a rational quantification of how much each user class
appreciates the energy utilization or lack of thereof.
It actually enables the computation of the 'pecuniary
compensation' required for doing without power in
each case. This is in sharp contrast with the idea
that an outage is chiefly a corporate loss of revenue,
possibly worthy of a nominal compensation for end-users,
at best.
In addition the typical utility has comfortably been
sitting too long around the idea of an 'inherent'
negligible demand elasticity, characteristic that
has been causing a definite supply-side competitive
advantage, including potential gaming opportunities.
This phenomenon may even be exacerbated under deregulation,
as has been experienced in the past.
Consideration of the Hicks-function response can
set up a basis for a concerted effort to improve the
elasticity problem without resorting to controversial
mitigation measures. Indeed the unsupplied energy
value, as may be shown, decreases greatly with the
elasticity of demand.
Hence this formulation, in combination with an equitable
penalty allocation for outages, may well constitute
the right market signal for all stakeholders to behave
favorably towards a price-responsive electricity use
in a more secure network.
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