Cracking the Bottlenecks
December 12, 2006 - EnergyBiz Magazine
Federal regulators are revving up. They’re
preparing to take steps to begin building new transmission
lines, particularly lines that are considered vital
to the national interest. It’s all part of the objectives
of the Energy Policy Act of 2005, which include constructing
a grid that is in tune with a modern economy and a
digital society. Transmission planning has long been
an onerous process.
Intellectually, everyone understands
the need to carry electrons from one point to another
in the most physically and economically efficient
manner possible. But disagreements abound over where
to put the poles and wires that will facilitate that
process. Problems therefore persist, namely tightly
constrained grids that may cause transmission operators
to curtail service.
The Energy Policy Act gives the Federal
Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) backstop permitting
authority as a way to get important transmission built.
Specifically, the U.S. secretary of energy can designate
national interest electric corridors in those areas
that have capacity constraints or congestion. The
states still have first crack at the process. But
the federal government will step in if state law precludes
consideration of interstate benefits and if the state
takes longer than one year to act after an application
is filed.
“It is important to note that our regulations
are intended to supplement the traditional state siting
process,” said FERC Chairman Joseph Kelliher. “I would
expect that most transmission projects would continue
to be sited by states under state law. Our jurisdiction
to issue a construction permit applies only under
limited circumstances, and our proposed rules respect
those limits.”
The commission does not have a blank
check. A proposal brought before it to build or expand
electric transmission facilities must be used for
interstate commerce, be consistent with the public
interest, significantly reduce transmission congestion
and maximize existing towers and structures. Under
all circumstances, the review process is to be extensive
and the public is to remain involved.
Power purchasers need unfettered access
to the nation’s grid in order to supply electricity
whenever and wherever it is needed. But transmission
constraints limit the amount of energy that can be
transferred to a load center. Grid operators must
then find alternative routes, which often demand more
costly forms of generation. Congestion therefore has
its price.
Is that cost enough to justify building
new transmission lines? Well, that’s been the subject
of a lot of Department of Energy (DOE) studies. In
August, DOE designated the area from New York City
to Washington, as well as all of southern California,
as “critical.” That is, new lines are definitely needed.
DOE found that New England, the Phoenix-Tucson area,
the Seattle-Portland region and San Francisco were
“areas of concern.” The next step is to review the
comments that come in and then plan a course of action.
The New York State Public Service Commission
says that congestion is now defined in nebulous terms
— referring to areas where bottlenecks create price
spikes, subsequently harming consumers and economic
activity. FERC should thus adopt a “clear economic
measure of congestion” that considers national concerns,
and one in which projects are paid for by the beneficiaries.
Such an objective view would narrow the list of sites
that might be viewed as vital to the national interest.
Money Needed
Transmission investment declined in
real terms, from 1975 to 1998. While there have been
increases since 1998, FERC says that the level of
investment is still less than it was in 1975. Over
the same time period, however, the demand for electricity
has doubled. That’s resulted in a significant decrease
in transmission capacity, requiring that new lines
be built.
The Energy Department also continues
to assert that regional transmission organizations,
independent operators that schedule power deliveries,
should take a leadership role. As such, PJM Interconnection
has asked the department to designate two electrical
paths as vital based on authority granted to it by
the energy act. They are the Allegheny Mountain Path
that extends from West Virginia and serves the Baltimore-Washington
region and the Delaware River Path that serves the
areas around Philadelphia, New Jersey and Delaware.
The corridor designations address needs
that result from continuing growth in electricity
use, local generating plant closings, limited construction
of new generating facilities and aging transmission
infrastructure, according to PJM. In 2005, transmission
congestion totaled $747 million on the Allegheny Mountain
Path, and $464 million on the Delaware River Path.
The proposed designation also will assist in the development
of renewable resources such as wind power, in addition
to bringing other new and existing resources to a
broader market.
“Expansion of the electric transmission
grid and the consideration of alternatives are needed
in these key areas to ensure reliability and lower
electricity costs,” said Phillip Harris, CEO of PJM.
“Congress and the president provided a mechanism in
the Energy Policy Act to ensure that transmission
constraints that adversely impact national interests
can be addressed in a timely manner. We appreciate
federal leadership and believe these paths and the
critical needs of these large metropolitan areas make
them the very type of national interest concerns to
which Congress was referring.”
ISO New England, meanwhile, says that
about $900 million is needed for upgrades to maintain
reliability and efficiency. Southwest Connecticut
in particular has one of the most severely constrained
transmission systems in New England. All told, more
than 30 transmission projects have been planned or
proposed for the Northeast, although FERC says that
it still won’t be enough to relieve the expected transmission
shortage.
The energy law stipulates that FERC
does have the authority to act, although it cannot
take final action and issue a construction permit
until one year has passed. In any event, FERC emphasizes
that the permitting process must remain transparent
and inclusive, and that pre-filing is a means by which
developers can circumvent problems. The transmission
siting provisions enacted last year do not pre-empt
the states; rather, they supplement that process and
FERC expects the states to make the vast majority
of determinations.
Breaking Ties
While the subsequent legal battles are
well intended and are meant to ensure that the permitting
process is honest, they create bottlenecks that perpetuate
uncertainty. Investors are skeptical about supplying
capital because they can make more money in alternative
investments while the delays impede reliability.
“Transmission is the most difficult
infrastructure project to site and more so than generation,”
said Ron Poff, with American Electric Power (AEP).
“You can get support from politicians. But when the
notin- my-backyard factor weighs in, the politicians
will pull the rip cord.”
AEP has a particularly compelling story
to tell. In 1990, it sought permission to build an
89-mile transmission line through West Virginia and
Virginia. Sixteen years later, after many twists and
turns, the project finally began transmitting power
— it’s a “poster child” for the transmission provisions
within the new energy law, Poff said. To be sure,
AEP had to rethink its route because of the area’s
rivers and wildlife. The 765-kilovolt deal was needed
and won the necessary concessions.
The proposed 200-mile New York Regional
Interconnection (NYRI) project could be the first
test of the new energy law and whether FERC’s backstop
authority is real. Concerns about the line prompted
the state’s public service commission to say in May
that the proposal is “incomplete.” In the meantime,
state legislators have stepped in and now vow to block
the deal.
“Opposition to NYRI has been widespread
because citizen concern extends far beyond its effects
on views and natural landscape to include issues of
energy policy, private property laws, corporate transparency,
good government, economic fairness and natural habitat,”
said Lynn Phillips, a citizen activist in New York
City.
Looking to the future, FERC can now
authorize a greater return on transmission projects
so as to motivate investors. It’s all having some
effect: PEPCO has proposed a $1.2 billion line that
would run 230 miles and cross through Virginia, Maryland
and New Jersey — a line to be built exactly where
the Energy Department says the need is critical.
Indeed, none of this is to say that
developers would ever be able to railroad projects.
All transmission lines must go through an exhaustive
permitting process and, in the end, the footprint
they would leave behind must do the least environmental
damage possible while still being economically and
physically efficient. Often, the parties are able
to agree on alternative paths — all to meet an expected
growth in future electrical demand.
In those instances in which agreement
cannot be reached, FERC would now have the power to
step in and break the tie. But, the commission has
similar rights when it comes to permitting natural
gas pipelines — a process still mired in time-consuming
court fights and regulatory battles.
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